INDIA: The New Axis of Evil and Hardship

 

In a prior posts (here and here), I looked at the Geopolitical Effects on Hardship as a result of India's "Cockroach" Protests and the possibility of a New Axis of Evil forming involving Russia, China and India. In this post, I'll explore the effects of potential alliances between China, Russia and India on Hardship in India.

Notes

• The Axis of Evil   The term "axis of evil" is a reference to the Axis powers of World War II (Nazi Germany, Fascist Italy, and the Empire of Japan). An updated grouping consisting of China, Russia, Iran and North Korea, also known as CRINK, has been referred to as the "new axis of evil" by U.S. politicians and commentators, sometimes includes India.
• The New axis of Evil: Russia, China and India? 
• INDIA: Hardship and Protest
• MSN Two Decades of Mass Protests in India
• MSN India's Cockroach Protests called off
• CNN Why Political Fury is Boiling Over on the Streets of India's Capital 
• Economy of India a developing mixed economy with a notable public sector in strategic sectors.
• History of India Anatomically modern humans are estimated to have first arrived on the Indian subcontinent between 73,000 and 55,000 years ago.
• Politics of India  India is a parliamentary secular democratic republic, described as a “sovereign, socialist, secular democratic republic” in its constitution.
• Geography of India  On the south, India projects into and is bounded by the Indian Ocean—in particular, by the Arabian Sea on the west, the Lakshadweep Sea to the southwest, the Bay of Bengal on the east, and the Indian Ocean proper to the south.
• 2026 Delhi Jantar Mantar protests also referred to as the Indian Gen Z protests and the Cockroach protests, were a series of demonstrations initiated on 6 June 2026 by the Cockroach Janta Party (CJP), an Indian youth-based satirical political movement, alongside student organizations including the All India Students Federation, All India Students Association, and Students Federation of India.
• AIC Statistics The Akaike information criterion (AIC) is an estimator of prediction error and thereby relative quality of statistical models for a given set of data.
• Shefner et. al.  (2015) Austerity and Anti-Systemic Protest: Bringing Hardships Back In JWSR
• Globalization in India The goods produced in India had long been exported to far off destinations across the world; the concept of globalization is hardly new to India.



INL20 Hardship Measurement Model










HARD1 =  (Growth - mortality and longterm unemployment ),  HARD2: Unemployment and poverty, HARD3 = Business cycle, Unemployment and reduction in CPI.  From the World Development Indicators.

HARD1 CN-RU-BAU-RW AIC STATISTICS

The best short-term model, using the AIC Statistics, is the Random Walk (RW). 

IN CN-INPUT HARD1 MODEL