June 14, 2026 Switzerland Rejects Measure to Cap Its Population at 10 Million NY Times. The referendum was about limiting migration after the number of residents rose by more than a quarter since 2000, but it was framed around affordability and sustainability.
The Population Cap (solid red line in the graphic above) proposed for Switzerland will not automatically be reached by any of my forecasting models, although the stable Business-as-Usual (BAU) model (see below) might eventually reach a steady state at a level lower than 10 Million.
The best forecast (using the Akaike Information Criterion) is the CH_LM (Late Modern) model driven by Western Europe (the dashed red line in the graphic above, state-space model presented below).
Notes
Wikipedia Links
- Economy of Switzerland a highly developed free-market economy. The Swiss economy has ranked first in the world since 2015 on the Global Innovation Index and third in the 2020 Global Competitiveness Report. According to United Nations data for 2016, it is the third richest landlocked country in the world after Liechtenstein and Luxembourg.
- Politics of Switzerland a federal state with representative democracy.
- History of Switzerland the Swiss Confederation has been a federal republic of relatively autonomous cantons, some of which have a history of federation that goes back more than 700 years, putting them among the world's oldest surviving republics.
- Geography of Switzerland a mountainous landlocked country located in Western and Central Europe.
- Demographics of Switzerland has 9 million inhabitants, as of June 2024. Its population quadrupled over the period 1800 to 1990 (average doubling time 95 years). Population growth was steepest in the period after World War II (1.4% per annum during 1950–1970, doubling time 50 years), it slowed during the 1970s and 1980s but has since increased to 1% during the 2000s (doubling time 70 years).
- Cartography of Switzerland Switzerland has had its current boundaries since 1815, but maps of the Old Swiss Confederacy were drawn since the 16th century.
AIC Statistics
CH_LM Western Europe Input
CH_LM BAU Model
CH_LM US Input
