State Space Models

All state space models are written and estimated in the R programming language. The models are available here with instructions and R procedures for manipulating the models here here.

Monday, July 13, 2026

UKL20: Shrinking the Financial Sector (1980-2060)


 


A 2026 change in leadership in the United Kingdom (UK) triggered by a no-confidence vote, brings up the issue of what policies might be expected from the new Labor Government, potentially headed by Andy Burnham, champion of the Green New Deal UK. One of the core goals of the Green New Deal UK (see Notes below), based on analogies to the 1930s New Deal in the US, is to restructure the UK Financial Sector.


In this post, I am going to present an index of UK Financialization (FINZ) and how it might be affected by various Geopolitical Alignments as a result of Brexit, Britain leaving the European Union (EU).

The graphic above shows five possible Geopolitical Alignments and how they might affect the FINZ1 index (see Notes below, the growth component). Business-as-Usual (BAU) creates unlimited growth in the Financial Sector while other alignments (a Random Walk, RW, the US, the World System, W, and the EU) stabilize or contract the Financial Sector. The biggest contraction comes from alignment with the EU, which may have been another motivation for Brexit.

Notes


UKL20 FINZ Indicator Codes


UKL20 FINZ Measurement Model







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