State Space Models

All state space models are written and estimated in the R programming language. The models are available here with instructions and R procedures for manipulating the models here here.
Showing posts with label ITL20 Model. Show all posts
Showing posts with label ITL20 Model. Show all posts

Thursday, November 13, 2025

World-System (1970-2100): Geopolitical Alignment Forecasts for Italy

 

                     

This page is UNDER CONSTRUCTION but you can study the graphic above and the State Space Model outputs below. 


The best model (using the AIC Statistics) is driven by the RW (Random Walk) model, in terms of increasing Growth is input from the EU (European Union).




Notes

You can run the ITL20 Model in R-code (here). For more of my posts see Blog Roll: Italy, the Boiler Plate and the Introduction to State Space Models.

Questions

  1. What is the best Geopolitical Alignment for Italy?

Wikipedia Links



IT1 AIC Statistics




IT1 EU Model