In a prior post (here) I quoted President Trump saying that Poverty numbers were "Great" in the US and presented a forecast of the US Hardship Index (of which Poverty SI.POV.DDA is a component). This might confuse some readers who expected to see actual Poverty data, so I have presented that above with a Forecast and Prediction Intervals. It reaches the same conclusions.
Note
USL20 Poverty Model
USL20 Poverty Model AIC Statistics
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