The Trump II administration, which took office in January 2025, is threatening to impose tariffs on Latin American Countries , in turn, the Latin American Countries is threatening retaliation on the US (here). Rather than investigating whether this trade war is a good or bad thing, let me take a broader look at Latin America's future from the perspective of Geopolitical Alignment (I'll look at Mexico, Venezuela, Columbia, Panama, etc. in a future post).
Latin American faces a wide range of futures from unlimited exponential growth if aligned with China (CN, in the graphic above) or collapse if aligned with the World System (W). But, let's take China out of the picture (assuming the US would resist such a future). The graphic above shows the "also ran" input models:
- BAU
- TECHE
- TECHP
- US
- RW
- W
Notes
LA_SYS Model Summary:
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